Volume 13, Issue 48 (7-2024)
Haft Hesar J Environ Stud 2024, 13(48): 87-104 |
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Fattah zadeh Y, Salehi E, Khastou M. Identifying and analyzing key drivers affecting sustainable tourism development with a futures research approach (Case study: Guilan Province). Haft Hesar J Environ Stud 2024; 13 (48) :87-104
URL: http://hafthesar.iauh.ac.ir/article-1-2086-en.html
URL: http://hafthesar.iauh.ac.ir/article-1-2086-en.html
1- Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
2- Department of Environmental Planning and Management, Faculty of Environment, Technical Campus, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3- Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
2- Department of Environmental Planning and Management, Faculty of Environment, Technical Campus, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3- Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
Abstract: (785 Views)
The development of the tourism industry requires adequate knowledge and awareness of the effective economic, social, and cultural issues and factors of each region. Future study is recognized as a novel and modern approach to understanding future developments, which may also play a crucial role in shaping the future of sustainable tourism. The goal of this research was set to identify the drivers with the potential to influence the development of sustainable tourism in Gilan province in the future. Using the MicMac software and benefiting from the structural analysis method, one of the common methods of future study, this study analyzed the indices of sustainable tourism development in Gilan province. First, 38 indicators in four main dimensions were extracted from the upstream documents and studies related to the subject to obtain the relevant research findings. Then, the cross-impacts matrix was made by using the opinions of 26 experts and specialists. The obtained study results based on the output of MicMac software revealed the twelve major drivers influencing the development of sustainable tourism in Gilan province, which are given in order below: The population density in tourist areas, improving the level of environmental awareness and information, the employment rate in profitable jobs in the tourism sector, the amount of private sector investments, optimum use of land, competitiveness, expansion of tourism-related built spaces, increasing the regional transportation infrastructures, participation and solidarity of local groups and residents, holding seasonal and cultural festivals, reducing the ecological damage rate, and informing people about the importance of tourists in the studied area
Type of Study: Research |
Received: 2024/08/18 | Accepted: 2024/07/31 | Published: 2024/07/31
Received: 2024/08/18 | Accepted: 2024/07/31 | Published: 2024/07/31
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